Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Three games parlay and singles.

Let’s take a look three games very quickly.
Heerenveen-PAOK under 2,5.
Heerenveen has 3 out of 4 under 2,5 in Eredivisie and looks very weak on the offensive end. Scored just twice in those 4 games, despite played the 3 of those at home.
PAOK under coach Santos is very defensive team and the under 2, 5 pick is very frequently.

AEK-Vaslui+1 home
AEK is very experienced team and very motivated after the signings of striker Guereiro and defender Oleguer. The strong part of the team is the creative midfielders like Scoco and Manduka and the good scorer Blanco.
Vaslui of course have the advantage of 2-1 score line from the first game, but I think their inexperience and the home crowd are factors that can’t overcome.

Aston Villa-Rapid Wienna+1,5 home.
When you win games against Liverpool away, I can’t imagine other result than clear win and qualification on Europa league groups. It is simple.

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

PAOK PAOK PAOK

PAOK Thessaloniki is very strong at home. Their home record last year was 11-4-0 and they received just 5 goals. They keep all the important players plus some experienced midfielders and I expect them more strongly for the upcoming year.
In the preview round qualified by the Norwegian Valerenga. Won the away game 2-1 and lost!!! the home game 1-0, despite missed some very clear chances to score late.

Heerenveen is weaker than last year, where finished 5th in Dutch league. They missed their mind in the midfield, the Croatian Pranjic and they have problems to create good opportunities. In four official games scored 3 goals and received 9.

Important missing for PAOK are the midfielders Sorlin and Fotakis and defenders Contreras and Sznaucer. All regulars.
For Heerenveen the Swedish midfielder Elm, is injured.
The crowd of 26.000 fans is very enthusiastic and pushes the home team to win. I think odds around 2.00 are very tempted.

Monday, August 17, 2009

Arsenal and over 2,5

Arsenal performed impressive last Saturday at Everton's Goodison Park. They scored easily six times and started the campaign with an emphatic win. Despite the six goals, no one from the starting strikers found the back of the net. Van Persie, Arshavin and Bendner, are all absents from the score line board. That means all the players are very dangerous and they can score.

Celtic won 3-1 away on their first game in Scottish premier league. They are very motivated from the time that draws with Arsenal and they want to surprise the Londoners. About 60.000 fans they will create good football atmosphere and they give a boost on their favorite Celtic.

Arsenal is the big name here and they want to finish the job at Glasgow. The second game is shceduled on 26th of August and three days later the Gunners they will visit the old rivals Man. Utd. So if they clean up the mess tonight, Arsen Wenger may give a day off to some players on the second leg.

Friday, August 14, 2009

Bayern(-1)-Werder home

Bayern Munich has changed in players and technical stuff, than a year ago.
Luis Van Gaal took over after a disappointed season and he will try to bring fresh air and inspiration at the German giant.
Many players came to the club after Van Gaal’s agreement. Gomez and Olic up front are very good and proved scorers, Timoschuk and Pranjic are experienced midfielders. Plus some young players like Baumjohann, Badstuber and Graafheid and the new Bayern is ready to fly.

Bremen is weaker than last year, which finished at the 10th position on the table. They lost their best player, Brazilian Diego and the first choice attacker Peruvian Pizzaro. Not any big name arrived at Bremen, except the young Marin from Gladbach and the old friend Borowski who return after year on the bench at Munich.

Bayern’s tactic is to keep the possession of the ball. This fact gives them more opportunities to attack and on the opposite side give the pressure. Pranjic and Altindop are very sharp at the free kicks and the 70.000 Bayern’s fans are very loud.

I think Bayern will win this one and the handicap of (-1) goal on 2.05 odds is good for me.

PS Also from the same league, I see Stuttgard to win the newly Freiburg. Maybe I will post some comments later.

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

PAOK - Valerenga under 2,5

PAOK is clear favorite for the game and the qualification on the next round. At the preperation games they coudnt score more than one time in each game and they did in Norway.
Coach Santos is very defensive mind and his tacticks focus to keep the zero back.
Valerenga is mediocre team in Norway, but they are in the middle of their domestic leage. So they are in better physical condition thougth limited talent.

Under 2,5 at 2,05 odds, are very value and I ll take it.

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Pana-Sparta over 3 goals

Is possible Cisse to miss out clear scoring opportunities ? Again ?
No way.
PAna needs to win the game bya three goals or a 2-0 score line. Their defense is weak with a lot of mistakes and probably they 'll receive a single goal.

I think over 3 at 2,25 odds, is big gift for the gamblers.