Saturday, May 30, 2009

Leverkusen to win the cup.

I’m going to take Bayer Leverkusen to win the cup in German. I saw the team many times on TV and I’m impressed with their technique and passion and I’m wondering why finished so low on the table.

Of course everybody knows what means Werder Bremen. But recently the green and white team became defective and many times suffered bad losses.
The price around 2, 25 for capture by Leverkusen is big value.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SZ689ZwJWpA

Friday, May 22, 2009

Karlsruher-Hertha away win

Hertha needs all the three points in the match up against Karlsruher. If they finally grab them, next season will play in UEFA CHL.

The big factor for the win is the motivation. Berliners will play with heart and passion because they have the opportunity to play against the best teams in Europe.

Home team is already makes plans for the next season, while they will play in the second division because the last spot on the table and their 26 points after 33 games are not enough to keep them in the top league. Also the head coach fired this week and will play with interim coach on Saturday.

I have a strong feeling on Hertha.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Bremen-Shakhtar over 2,5

Usually the UEFA cup finals have a lot of goals.
Today couldn’t be an exception when Werder Bremen participates in the game and the Ukrainian team with five Brazilian players.

Bremen is always the team who searching for score regardless play home or away. Many players take part on attacking plan and they score 2 goals in average in domestic league, when they conceded 1, 36 per game. The absentee of Brazilian star Diego gives the opportunity to youngster Ozil to make adjustments and to prove his development.

On the other side, Shakhtar Donetsk is the new power of Ukrainian football. The experienced Rumanian coach Mircea Lucescu, managed to build a very competitive team that join every year to group stages on UEFA CHL. The core of the team is the Brazilian players that give the quality and technique. They pass great teams on the road to Istanbul like Tottenham, CSKA Moscow, Marseill and the arch rivals Dynamo Kiev.

Both of them started the season in the CHL and finished third on their groups to degrade on UEFA cup.
When two attacking mind teams play each other, over 2,5 is the best option.

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

L.A.Lakers-Denver+6,5 home win

L.A. is Denver’s Nemesis the last years. The reigning MVP Kobe Bryant has harsh times in Colorado (due to infamous rape case), but always has the answers against the Nuggets team.

The big guys Gasol-Bynum-Odom have the advantage in the paint. The second chances and sometimes the thirds are the results of that dominance.

The Nuggets have to thank Chauncey Billups to come here. The 2004 Final MVP makes clear the roles for everybody in the team. Gave the lost explosiveness and scoring ability to Carmelo and organized the offense.

Is the first game of the series and the Lakers wanted to avoid the cruel times that gave them the Rockets Houston in previews round. The big guys and Kobe are the factors for the win. Also the home crowd gives a boost to the Lakers.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Barca for the first

Barcelona is ready for the first trophy of the season, in the Copa Del Rey final at Mestalla stadium in Valencia. Regardless of missing number of regulars is the clear favorite for this one. Henry, Iniesta, Abidal and goalie Valdez are out, but the strength of the team is well well-known.
Bilbao has the opportunity to win a major title after 23 years of draught. But they will face the best team on the planet right now. 18 thousand fans gave a boost in the last practice of the team, before they travel to Valencia.

Barcelona has the best offense and defense in La Liga and they will score for sure. It will be difficult for Bilbao to outplay the Catalans, because in open field they are very fast and skilled players. I expect Barcelona to win with 2 or 3 goals margin.

Combo from Germany

Today I have a combo from Germany.
Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich are in the top of the table. If they will finish at the same spot, the goal diference rule, will give the title on Wolsfburg that have +2 goal in favour.

So the scenario is that they hunt wins with as possible big margin. Their opponents Dortmunt and Leverkusen are good teams and they can score easilly in the counter attack.

The odds at 1,50 and 1,53 are good under these circumstances. The combo of
Wolfsburg-Dortmunt over 2,5 1,53
Bayern-Leverkusen over 2,5 1,50

gives you back 2,30 times your money.

It worths a big shot.

Saturday, May 9, 2009

Columbus-Kansas home win

This is the 8th try for Columbus to get their first win of the season. They have 5 draws and two defeats so far despite they have scored at all of these 7 games.
The good news for the team is the return of Captain Frankie Hejduk, who missed the last six games due injury. Also the other international midfielder Robby Rogers has played last week against Toronto and he feels good.

Kansas City is good team and scored at 7 of their 8 games. Argentinean Claudio Lopez and former USA international striker Josh Wolf are very dangerous up front. But the defense is the weak side of the team. They conceded 9 goals in the first 8 games.

In papers this looks like a tight contest. But the motivation is on Columbus side and the first win is the issue of all that involve in the team. Also today is the 10th anniversary of the Columbus stadium and the fans they will help their Crew team.

Valencia-Madrid over 2,5

Valencia holds the fourth spot, which gives them the CHL ticket for the next season. They have seen their good record with five consecutive wins and a draw against Barcelona to ending with a 3-0 heavy defeat by Espanyol. This lost game it was the only that they didn’t score, in the last 10 contests.
Madrid lost to archrival Barcelona by 2-6 and their hopes to win again the Spanish La Liga. This crashing result was the only defeat in the Juante Ramos’ era that includes 17 wins 1 draw and the lost to Barca.
Statistically Valencia has 8/10 over 2.5 and Madrid 5/10. But Madrid has scored at least a single goal, in the last 20 games.
The pick of over 2.5 is very possible and the odds around 1,65 to 1,70 are good.

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Hambourg-Bremen over 2,5

The score of first game in Bremen was 0-1. Usually in the second game and when the visitors want to score number of goals, the game has tempo and pace with lot of chances and scoring opportunities.

Bremen is very attacking mind team and many defenders participate in the offensive part. The quality of their strikers gives credits to creativity dangerous situation up front. Diego, Pizzaro, Almheida, Rosenberg, are proven scorers.

Hamburg making very successful season so far. They are close to UEFA final and they have some chances for the domestic championship title. But their main target is one spot in the first 3 position, which drives to the UEFA CHL in the next season. They are very efficient in their home and I expect them to score for sure.

I think over 2,5 is very possible and the odds around 1,85 are good.

Wednesday, May 6, 2009

Lakers-Houston+10 home win

This is a must win game for the Lakers, if they want to go further in the competition.
In the first game they couldn’t contain Yao Ming in the paint and speedy Brooks outside. Also Ron Artest did good job over Kobe.
The two quick fouls on Andy Bynum were big blow for the Lakers and forced Pau Gasol to defend Yao. This fact prevents the Spaniard to play with all of his energy in the offensive end.

Tonight Kobe have to shot the ball better and to carry his team on his shoulders. Bynum have to be careful on defense, giving space and time to Gasol in the offense. The most important thing is they can prove their record in the regular season and the cruise over Utah in the first round.

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Chelsea-Barca over 2,5

Barcelona is scoring machine and fail to score in two occasions so far, at 51 official games.

So it is very possible to score at least one here.
In this situation Chelsea have to attack and to score twice, in case to qualify at the final.

If this scenario will be true, I think the pick of over 2,5 and the great price (double your money) is value.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sxUbaRk34RE

Arsenal(0)-Man.Utd(0) home win

Arsenal has impressive home record in CHL games that remains unbeaten for 5years, or 24 games. Robbie Van Persie is fit again and ready to fires up front along with Adebayor. I expect Theo Walcott to be more aggressive and to make his sharp crosses, which take advantage the duo up front. Also Cesk Fabregas have to prove his leadership in the midfield and to organize well the attacking part of their game.

Man. Utd is more experienced team and has the 1-0 score of the first game. Ronaldo and Rooney they can ruin anybody in open field and their defensive line is proven.

But I‘ll give credits to the young Gunners and their motivation to play in the final of CHL. Their form, their fans, and my instinct, drives me at home win.

Friday, May 1, 2009

Chicago-Seattle hw.

Chicago is the only unbeaten team in MLS after 6 games. Last week scored two goals in the last minutes and equalized the game versus Columbus away from home. They have very good and experienced players up front, like McBride, Blanco, Pappa that they score easily at any time of period.
Theoretically the defensive line is the best part of them. But in the last 2 games they conceded 4 goals and that is the issue to brought concerns to Coach Hamlet.

Seattle is very competitive team and they are in second place of the Western Conference standings. They did good job for a newly team in the league. Freddy Ljunberg is the star of the team, but the hard defensive style of Coach Schmid and the presence of Casey Keller at the posts, are two significant reasons for the good start.

I think Chicago have the motivation and quality to win this one. As I wrote the offensive line is very efficient and the defensive the same as well (at least on papers). Odds around 2.00 are fair for home win. Also possible is the under 2,5 goals, because of a good defensive Seattle’s record.

Here is an exciting game to check your knowledge.

http://www.sporcle.com/games/premierleaguealltime.php