Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Atlanta-Miami+6 hw

Atlanta retakes the home court advantage after the big win over Miami on Monday. Zaza Pachulia gave big boost from the bench, with 18 rebounds and 12 points, while 6 players had double digit of points. The score balance and the defensive effort and function, is the strong part of the Hawks all over the year. Mike Bibby is very experienced in the playoffs situation, along to Joe Johnson. Also Josh Smith shows some improvement and stability in high level games.

Miami is the team of Wade. The superstar is able to score over 50 points by himself, but the other Heat players are too young and inexperienced. Mario Chalmers (the starting point guard) and Michael Beasley, are rookies. Dequan Cook is on his second year and only Haslem, O’Neil and Jones, are veterans. Of course Wade can makes things happens, but against a solid team like Atlanta, he need help. Yesterday missed the practice due back spasms, but he will play for sure.

Tonight maybe play again Marvin Williams. The Hawks forward suffers from a wrist injury and he will decide in pregame warm up. He missed game 4 and the win in Miami.

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Barca-Chelsea+1 hw

Barcelona is the more efficient team on the world. In Spain league has scored 94 goals and the goal difference is +68. Tremendous numbers by the Catalans. The offensive part of their game has the basis on possession of the ball. When they change the ball over 12-15 times in a row, give some kind of nerves on their opponent. They drive him to make errors and to go out of control.

Chelsea is very improvement since Guus Hiddink took over. Drogba and Lambard found out their shine again and the team scoring much more. On the other hand receives more goals, but when you win the games, this factor doesn’t matter.

Tonight if Chelsea goes forward to play offensive against this Barca, I think the scoreboard will be disastrous for the Blues. Either if they stand back and waiting for the Catalans.
Barcelona at this time of period is simply the best team around the world. I’ m sure for home win.

Monday, April 27, 2009

New Orleans-Denver +2,5 hw

CP3 against Chauncey part 4.
In the 3 previews meetings we saw the ‘’big shot’’ Billups to gave his own show in Denver and CP3 to respond in New Orleans. Today we have the opportunity to watch the series to make level, or to break the home and Denver to go through.
Rasual Butler and Sean Marks (!!!) are the energy guys who carry the team. Butler with his defense and the executive ability beyond the 3-point range and Marks with his inside game and his enthusiasm.
Martin limited West in the previews three and Melo frustrated by Peja’s defense.
New Orleans has the talent of CP3 who measure up to it with Magic and Isiah Thomas. He rules the game and makes things happens.
Also the home crowd is another factor that helps New Orleans.
I think and I’m going to home win, for CP3 and his Hornets.

Newcastle-Portsmouth

Alan Shearer is a big factor in this one. He can inspire his players and the fans, in this tough mission, to save his lovely Newcastle from the relegation. Michael Owen and Damien Duff are very optimists and they are the weapons in front.

Portsmouth is very weak on the road and almost receives a single goal in each of their games.

Newcastle has big motivation and their intention is to win all the home games.
Go Alan, go Newcastle.

Friday, April 24, 2009

Hoffenheim-Berlin over 2,5

Hoffenheim is the big surprise of the entire campaign in Germany. At the beginning of the season were the pleasant surprise, but in the second half of the season became the worst. They have long injured the first goal scorer Ibicevic and some other regulars missed a short time of period, due minor injuries. Coach Ragning is a great tactician and offensive mind Coach. Despite the injuries, the pressure and the bad situation, Hoffenheim lost three only games, but they had 7 draws in that skid.

Berlin is in CHL spot race. They are 2 points behind Hamburg and Bayern Munich, that they have the spot at this time. They are young and enthusiastic team and they are playing with great motivation. The bad thing is the influential striker Voronin (loan from Liverpool) will miss this one and he let his partner Pantelic alone in front.

So, we have Hoffenheim to play very offensive and on the other hand Berlin to need points for the CHL spot. When two teams would play to score goals, the choice of over 2,5 goals in the game is very possible.
The price of over 1,80 is good.

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Conspiracy theory ?

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Missing vials of a potentially dangerous virus have prompted an Army investigation into the disappearance from a lab in Maryland.

Fort Detrick is the home of the Army's top biological research facility.

The Army's Criminal Investigation Command agents have been visiting Fort Detrick in Frederick, Maryland, to investigate the disappearance of the vials. Christopher Grey, spokesman for the command, said this latest investigation has found "no evidence of criminal activity."
The vials contained samples of Venezuelan Equine Encephalitis, a virus that sickens horses and can be spread to humans by mosquitoes. In 97 percent of cases, humans with the virus suffer flu-like symptoms, but it can be deadly in about 1 out of 100 cases, according to Caree Vander Linden, a spokeswoman for the Army's Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases. There is an effective vaccine for the disease and there hasn't been an outbreak in the United States since 1971.
The vials had been at the research institute's facility at Fort Detrick, home of the Army's top biological research facility, for more than a decade. The three missing vials were among thousands of vials that were under the control of a senior scientist who retired in 2004. When another Fort Detrick scientist recently inventoried the retired scientist's biological samples, he discovered that the three vials of the virus were missing. The original scientist's records about his vials dated back to the days of paper-and-pen inventories.
During the investigation, the retired scientist and another former Fort Detrick researcher cooperated with investigating agents and, according to Vander Linden, they came back to the facility to help look for the vials.
Vander Linden said the investigators know that several years ago an entire freezer full of biological samples broke down and all the samples had to be safely destroyed. But a complete inventory of what was in the freezer was not done before the samples were destroyed. Vander Linden said there's a "strong possibility" the vials were in that freezer and destroyed, but that isn't known for sure.
This investigation comes two months after all research at the research institute facility at Fort Detrick was halted for a complete computer-based inventory of all disease samples at the fort. That inventory is expected to be complete before summer and may help solve the mystery of the three missing vials, officials said.
The Army investigation is in its final stages and is expected to be closed soon.

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Denver-New Orleans +6 aw

Can the Nuggets to get another blowout win?

After a convincing victory in game #1 the Nuggets are preparing for the second win to clean up the home stand games, before the series go down to Big Easy in Louisiana.
The physical play that approaches the game is the point of many conversations and adversities. Dontay Jones is covered superstar Chris Paul, with a lot of bumps and pushes. He was under the skin of Paul, according his teammate Kenyon Martin. Also Martin played an excellent defense on the other Hornet superstar David West. With this impressive defending job by the duo, Coach Karl was happy and saw his plan to stop the Hornets’ all stars to going through.
On the offensive end the Nuggets’ fans were all satisfy about the explosive of Chauncey Billups, who set a new record of three pointers made in a playoff game, by 8. J.R.Smith also scored 19 points, but when the game was decided.

For tonight game #2.
I think New Orleans is very capable team and the score in game #1 is not represented their talent. Until three minutes to end third quarter, the game was pretty close to just 7 points. David West was shut down and their defense allowed to Denver to pull up 12 offensive rebounds. Also Chauncey ‘’big shot’’ Billups, had a great night, (maybe career night), that is very difficult to repeat it. I expect Melo to bounce back from his poor night and the ‘’Birdman’’ Andersen to give energy from the bench. But I still believe the pride and personality of Chris Paul don’t let the game to go to another blowout.

So the 6 points on the spread, are too much for this one.

Bremen(+0)-Hambourg(+0) hw

This is the first out of four games in 19 days.

This one is very important for Werder Bremen side, because is the only way to play in European competitions next year, ( if qualify to the final and capture the title).
Super star Brazilian Diego is back, after he had day off last weekend. The influential Brazilian is very hot in the last games and has the ability to score and create dangerous situation for the opposite side.

Hambourg is in great form and is involv in all competitions that participate. In domestic league they are on third position, three points back of Wolfsburg and tied with Bayern Munich. In UEFA cup they meet Bremen again, in home and home games. Martin Joll did great job and is the main factor for this amazing year. The Dutch Coach gave an offensive style and inspire his players to believe theirselves.

Tonight is a K.O. game and the opportunity for Bremen to secure the place to final in Berlin. They are motivate and consentrate for the biggest task so far. With Diego to set back, Pizzaro and Almeida in front, I think Bremen have a good chance to win and to qualify to the final.

Monday, April 20, 2009

Boston-Chicago+8 home win

Chicago stunned many people with a big win versus Boston. The great performance of rookie Derrick Rose is the reason of that upset. Rose scored a record 36 points (tied up to Jabbar) as a rookie in a playoff game, plus 11 assists and dominant to Rajon Rondo in the battle of point guards.
Also Tyrus Thomas in O.T. and Joakim Noah on the boards, contributed huge numbers.

Boston played without star Kevin Garnett and expected to miss him in the postseason. This is a big blow for the title holders.
Ray Allen had a terrible night and went out with 1/12 shots, in almost 40 minutes. Without Garnett, he must score big numbers and to contribute in other categories.

Tonight is the #2 game of this series.
I expect Boston’s reaction and strong performance that will go to equalize on 1-1. The key factor to do that is the defense. In game #1 Chicago outrebounded 56-47 and shut the ball with 42,7 percentage. The defending rebound gave the opportunity to Rose to run in transition game and Chicago scored 17 fast break points against just Boston’s 6.
So if the defense tight up and control the boards, Boston has the chance to make the 1-1. Ray Allen and Paul Pierce have to be the leaders, as they were all of the regular season.
I think impossible second straight amazing performance of Derrick Rose.
In this case Coach Del Negro has to find offensive weapons, other than the rookie. Ben Gordon is one threat and John Salmons. But they have to guard the Boston’s superstars Pierce and Allen and they have to focus on defense.

The fact is that Chicago brake the home court advantage and now maybe have less consecration and intensity to win second straight and do the 2-0. So I think Boston will win here with convince victory, to restore the momentum.

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Udinese-Bremen over 2,5

The first game in Germany ended 3-1 for Bremen, after an amazing performance of Brazilian Diego that scored two goals.

The Germans are very optimistic about this one; despite they will play in Italy. In five away games (three in CHL and two in UEFA cup) they have 5 draws respectively. They are very attacking team and score easily.

The Italians have very tough task. They are a simply good team that makes sense after qualify against Zenit St Petersburg in the last phase of K.O. games. They are good on offensive end and especially in Italy they score a lot. They need a win with 2-0 score to pass to the next round, or if Bremen score with 3 goals differential. Possible 3-1 final score will send the teams in over time.

Both teams they have great motivation and offensive minds. So I’m going to over 2,5 and I hope someone to score early in the game.

Tonight off

I'll take off tonight because the schedulle in this final night of regular season is very tricky. Many teams will rest their stars and other they have not the motivation to play hard for the win.

The crucial games are Portland-Denver and Dallas-Houston.
In Portland the spread of 8 points is huge, but there are some doubs on Melo and Nene participation in this match.
Houston wants the win to secure the second seed on the Western playoffs, but Dallas is also wants the victory to finish strong and maybe at 6th spot (if New Orleans lost the game at San Antonio).
New Orleans will rest CP3 and David West, according sourses inside the team. But the spread of 9 points avoid any bet.

So the night have TV only and some money on live betting, if is neccesary.

NBA comments, around 5:00 ET

Later I will post some comments about NBA.

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Arsenal-Villareal+1 home win

Arsenal is very hot at this moment and getting better and better. The return of key players likes Fabregas, Walcott and Adebayor, gave a big boost at the Gunners. They count five straight wins in Premiership, two wins in F.A.Cup and a qualification against Roma in stage of 16 on UCL. Coach Arsen Wenger worries only about the injuries of his defensive starters. Gallas, Clichy, Almunia and Djourou are out of this match and the problem is which one will cover the left back position. Mikael Sylvestre will play for sure either on centre back (in this case the 19year old Gibbs will cover left back position) or either on left back (move Alex Song in centre back).

Villareal traveled to London without their captain and their mind in the midfield, Marcos Senna. This absent will give start to Chilean Matti Fernandez, who is younger and more offensive than Senna, but is inexperience on this level of games.

Villareal plays with a lot of small passes and involve all the players on attacking part of their game. They have not the big body inside the box and this is the weak piece of their plan. They can threat Arsenal only with long distance shots, or with dead balls.

Arsenal has the quality and the ability to play their lovely passing game. The midfielders Fabregas, Denilson, Walcott, Nasri, are young and talented players, with their confidence in high level because the recent stretch. Also in front they have many options of skillful players, like Van Persey, Bendner and of course Adebayor.

Arsenal there is 23 games in UCL unbeaten and has 16 clean sheets on this range.

I’m backing on Arsenal’s win by more than 1 goal at 1,95 on Pinny, that I Think is a good price.



Today I'm listening Tito Puente and his Ran-Kan-Kan, for good luck.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dPtG07YfKXk

Bayern M. - Barcelona

Bayern Munich – Barcelona

Is the returning match for quarter finals in UCL. The first game in Spain a week ago finished 4-0 for the Catalans. So the task for the Germans is very tough and their trip to European title, probably reach to the end. This German team, that captured the Bundesliga crown last year, almost collapsed in Spain. Their attacking approach of the game and their scoring ability simply disappeared in that evening. The gap between the two teams was bigger than the final score shows.

It is very difficult the things go round for the Germans tonight, six days only after their crashed night. They have some important returning in the defense, such as Lucio and Lahm, but the problem is they have to have the possession of the ball. And this is the weak part of their game. The midfielders are overage and they couldnʼt create dangerous situation in the opposite defense, when weʽre talk about Barcelona. Also in front they need one more attacking player, alongside to Toni. But if they use one more striker, the already fragile midfield line will be a toy in the hands of Spaniards.

Coach Klinnsman told in the media that want to win to restore the confidence of his team. He promise to play attacking football and chase the best result.

Barcelona is aware about this contest. They know that if they are not in good shape and they have not the fighting spirit, maybe they have troubles. Their quality and performances throughout the year, is the fact that makes me to believe that they will be the team to qualify from this fight.

Some other facts are Barcelona scored at least one goal always this season. So I think they score tonight again. Bayern scored easily at home. The prices on over 2,5 goals are in the range of 1,60 to 1,70.

This is my pick for tonight.



And this is for good luck.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hDkVQvhZx04