Friday, August 14, 2009

Bayern(-1)-Werder home

Bayern Munich has changed in players and technical stuff, than a year ago.
Luis Van Gaal took over after a disappointed season and he will try to bring fresh air and inspiration at the German giant.
Many players came to the club after Van Gaal’s agreement. Gomez and Olic up front are very good and proved scorers, Timoschuk and Pranjic are experienced midfielders. Plus some young players like Baumjohann, Badstuber and Graafheid and the new Bayern is ready to fly.

Bremen is weaker than last year, which finished at the 10th position on the table. They lost their best player, Brazilian Diego and the first choice attacker Peruvian Pizzaro. Not any big name arrived at Bremen, except the young Marin from Gladbach and the old friend Borowski who return after year on the bench at Munich.

Bayern’s tactic is to keep the possession of the ball. This fact gives them more opportunities to attack and on the opposite side give the pressure. Pranjic and Altindop are very sharp at the free kicks and the 70.000 Bayern’s fans are very loud.

I think Bayern will win this one and the handicap of (-1) goal on 2.05 odds is good for me.

PS Also from the same league, I see Stuttgard to win the newly Freiburg. Maybe I will post some comments later.

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

PAOK - Valerenga under 2,5

PAOK is clear favorite for the game and the qualification on the next round. At the preperation games they coudnt score more than one time in each game and they did in Norway.
Coach Santos is very defensive mind and his tacticks focus to keep the zero back.
Valerenga is mediocre team in Norway, but they are in the middle of their domestic leage. So they are in better physical condition thougth limited talent.

Under 2,5 at 2,05 odds, are very value and I ll take it.

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Pana-Sparta over 3 goals

Is possible Cisse to miss out clear scoring opportunities ? Again ?
No way.
PAna needs to win the game bya three goals or a 2-0 score line. Their defense is weak with a lot of mistakes and probably they 'll receive a single goal.

I think over 3 at 2,25 odds, is big gift for the gamblers.

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Brazil from statistics

Two games from Brazil in a combo.
International-Barueri the over 2,5 pick has around 82% to come.
Inter. has 5 consecutive over 2,5 goals and on the other hand Barueri 4 out of last 5.

Palmeiras-Fluminense is the other game with over 75% to come over 2,5.
Palmeiras is 4 out of last 5 over 2,5 and Flu 3 out of last 5.

The parley giving you back 2,72 times your money.

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Over 2 goals.

I saw the lines for CHL games and I can't believe my eyes.

Panathinaikos is just over 2 goals versus Sparta Prag. With so many quality players in the summer transfer window, Pana is the big favorite for this one. But the total of 2 goals over/under, is turning around on my mind. Cisse or somebody else is capable to score and the Czechs also they need goals desperately, because the returning game in Athens. So the over 2 goals is my pick here, at odds around 1,90-2.00.

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

El Tri and Larisa

Two games in combo for today.

Larisa is better team by far in the contest with Reykjavik. In the first leg defeated by 2-0 and today they need to win with 3 goals margin. The hemi-profetionals Icelanders are a weak team, but they are in the middle of their domestic leage.
I think Larisa will win easilly.

El Tri against Ticos ine the second semi-final for the Gold Cup. Mexicans are impressive so far and they conceided just a single goal in four games. The talent of Giovani and Medina and the smart coaching by xavier Aguire are enough to qualify to the Final.
Ticos is unpredictable team in this Gold cup. They lost to Salvador and they crashed Guadalupe. Forward Saborio and 34year old Centeno are the most important players.
I think Mexico is better team.

Tuesday, July 21, 2009

Over 2,5

Second leg in UCL today and I'm considering to aproach two games on over 2,5 goals.

Levadia Tallin-Wisla Krakow

and

Kalmar-Debrecen.

The Estonians of Tallin have average 3,71 goals per game and they have scored at all of their 18 official games.
Wisla is more experienced team and they can score two or more goals and qualify to the next round.
I expect goals and easilly money return.

Kalmar is on good form and the only lost game was away at Hungary, a week ago. They are very strong team at home and the only way to advance onto third round is to score 3 or more goals.
Debrecen is also strong team and they have the advantadge of 2-0 result from the first game. A single goal is enough for Hungarians to go further and probably for the pick of over 2,5.